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2011-04-16

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 22.5% 77.5% -
Bradley-Terry 44.0% 56.0% -
Margin 42.8% 57.2% +1.6 (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.5% 51.5% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +5 (104-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Danny Granger * 39 10-20 4-8 0-0 6 3 1 1 1 24 14 -
Tyler Hansbrough * 35 10-19 0-0 2-3 4 2 1 0 2 22 8 -
Darren Collison * 34 7-15 2-2 1-3 6 9 2 1 1 17 19 -
Roy Hibbert * 32 4-7 0-0 3-4 8 1 1 1 2 11 13 -
Paul George * 23 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 2 1 2 4 -
Brandon Rush * 17 2-3 2-2 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 7 4 -
Mike Dunleavy * 15 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 -
Jeff Foster * 15 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 2 1 1 1 4 6 -
AJ Price * 14 3-6 2-3 0-1 0 1 0 0 1 8 2 -
Josh McRoberts * 12 1-6 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 4 4 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luol Deng * 41 7-13 2-3 2-4 10 2 1 0 2 18 16 -
Derrick Rose * 38 10-23 0-9 19-21 6 6 1 3 3 39 29 -
Joakim Noah * 30 5-12 0-0 0-1 11 1 1 3 0 10 14 -
Carlos Boozer * 26 4-11 0-0 4-5 6 0 0 1 4 12 4 -
Kurt Thomas * 24 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 6 9 -
Kyle Korver * 21 4-7 4-4 1-1 2 3 0 1 2 13 10 -
Keith Bogans * 17 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ronnie Brewer * 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 2 5 -
Taj Gibson * 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 2 3 -
C.J. Watson * 9 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Omer Asik * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter