Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 49.9% | 50.1% | +0.0 | ✓ (21.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +21 (88-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Gooden * | 25 | 2-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Ime Udoka * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| George Hill * | 24 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 21 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 16 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 15 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Barea * | 32 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 26 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 26 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 26 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 23 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Antoine Wright * | 18 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Hollins * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Singleton | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Matt Carroll | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Gerald Green | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter