Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 28.8% | 71.2% | +5.0 | ✓ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +21 (105-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 38 | 3-14 | 0-4 | 8-9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 38 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 31 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 22 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Antoine Wright * | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Hollins | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Gerald Green | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| James Singleton | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Matt Carroll | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 32 | 16-22 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 27 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 29 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 28 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 27 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 25 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Ime Udoka * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 18 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| George Hill | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter