Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 28.8% | 71.2% | +5.0 | ✗ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -8 (97-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Kidd * | 38 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 38 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 35 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 29 | 9-18 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 14 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 26 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 18 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Antoine Wright * | 14 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| James Singleton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Hollins | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 41 | 9-22 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 9 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 36 | 13-24 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 14 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 35 | 4-10 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 32 | 7-10 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 23 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 17 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Ime Udoka * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
* = starter