Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.4% | 92.6% | +13.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.9% | 84.1% | +9.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +11 (107-96). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronnie Brewer * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Deron Williams * | 32 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 31 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Mehmet Okur * | 30 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 22 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Ronnie Price * | 14 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Brevin Knight * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Matt Harpring | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| CJ Miles | 4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 42 | 10-21 | 3-4 | 8-9 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 16 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 38 | 10-15 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 30 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 36 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 27 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Sasha Vujacic * | 23 | 2-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Shannon Brown * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Andrew Bynum * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter