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2009-04-23

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Utah Jazz Spread Result
Elo 83.2% 16.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 69.2% 30.8% - โœ—
Margin 61.5% 38.5% -2.6 โœ— (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 52.8% 47.2% - โœ—
Efficiency 67.7% 32.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 66.6% 33.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 66.7% 33.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 56.3% 43.7% - โœ—

Actual: Utah Jazz +2 (88-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kobe Bryant * 43 5-24 1-4 7-8 7 6 2 0 2 18 7 -
Pau Gasol * 43 8-15 0-0 4-10 9 1 2 1 2 20 16 -
Lamar Odom * 41 10-17 1-2 0-0 14 1 1 1 1 21 20 -
Trevor Ariza * 38 3-9 2-4 1-2 1 4 0 0 2 9 3 -
Derek Fisher * 37 3-8 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 7 4 -
Shannon Brown * 10 1-4 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -
Luke Walton * 8 0-2 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -
Sasha Vujacic * 8 1-5 1-3 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 3 4 -
Andrew Bynum * 7 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
Josh Powell 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deron Williams * 45 3-7 0-2 7-12 5 9 1 0 4 13 17 -
Paul Millsap * 37 3-9 0-0 1-2 14 2 0 3 3 7 14 -
Ronnie Brewer * 36 4-12 0-1 4-6 7 4 0 1 3 12 9 -
Carlos Boozer * 34 9-17 0-0 5-6 22 2 1 1 2 23 30 -
Andrei Kirilenko * 27 4-6 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 1 2 8 5 -
Kyle Korver * 26 4-13 3-7 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 11 4 -
Matt Harpring * 13 5-8 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 10 5 -
CJ Miles * 8 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
Jarron Collins * 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 1 3 -
Brevin Knight * 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter