Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.6% | 84.4% | +9.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +10 (119-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deron Williams * | 42 | 12-23 | 6-11 | 5-6 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 35 | 24 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 39 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 35 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 26 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| CJ Miles * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Jarron Collins * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Matt Harpring * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Brevin Knight * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ronnie Price * | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 38 | 8-17 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 23 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 36 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 31 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Andrew Bynum * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 28 | 8-9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 28 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Shannon Brown * | 16 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Sasha Vujacic * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Luke Walton * | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Farmar * | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter