Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.2% | 23.8% | -6.4 | ✓ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -21 (78-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delonte West * | 43 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| LeBron James * | 40 | 10-24 | 0-3 | 16-17 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 34 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 38 | 9-14 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 31 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Wally Szczerbiak * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Daniel Gibson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Darnell Jackson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tarence Kinsey | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio McDyess * | 39 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 37 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 29 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 28 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 27 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Walter Herrmann * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Amir Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter