Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.8% | 79.2% | +5.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.2% | 71.8% | +5.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +5 (99-94). Ratings: 2007-08 season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 48 | 8-21 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 43 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 40 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 34 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 30 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 26 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Devean George | 7 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Tyronn Lue | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Paul * | 44 | 10-19 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 11 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 33 | - |
| David West * | 44 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 22 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 41 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 39 | 2-12 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Jannero Pargo * | 28 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Morris Peterson * | 16 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Julian Wright * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Hilton Armstrong * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter