Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +14 (99-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 42 | 8-16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 6-19 | 0-0 | 11-14 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 30 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| James Posey * | 28 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Shandon Anderson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 41 | 8-16 | 0-2 | 10-11 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 31 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 41 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 30 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 28 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 23 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Erick Dampier | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 17 | - |
* = starter