Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +10 (90-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 43 | 11-25 | 0-2 | 6-10 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 15 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 42 | 7-19 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 3 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 38 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-9 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 34 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 33 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| James Posey * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 43 | 3-14 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 39 | 4-14 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 37 | 13-18 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 21 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Marquis Daniels | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter