Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.7% | 64.3% | +3.2 | ✗ (10.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.7% | 59.3% | +2.1 | ✗ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -7 (88-95). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 43 | 9-22 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 40 | 10-23 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 29 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 38 | 9-20 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 4 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 31 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 47 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 41 | 6-14 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 37 | 10-22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 6 | - |
| Tim Thomas * | 36 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 36 | 9-18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 8 | - |
| James Jones * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Eddie House * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter