Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 29.4% | 70.6% | +4.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -3 (118-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 39 | 10-15 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 25 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 39 | 11-18 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 27 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 38 | 13-23 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 18 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 35 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Tim Thomas * | 34 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 34 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1 | - |
| James Jones * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Eddie House * | 8 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 40 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 26 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 39 | 6-17 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 34 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 30 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 19 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 23 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 5 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
* = starter