Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +17 (95-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheed Wallace * | 41 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 40 | 3-14 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 39 | 12-28 | 2-7 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 10 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 38 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Tony Delk * | 15 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Maurice Evans | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udonis Haslem * | 42 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 38 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 37 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 33 | 12-14 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 31 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 31 | 10-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| James Posey * | 24 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter