Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | ✗ (14.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +13 (91-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 44 | 11-20 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 36 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 31 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| James Posey * | 30 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 30 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 28 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Shandon Anderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 43 | 11-17 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 24 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 41 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 41 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 11-11 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 38 | 7-21 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 34 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 18 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter