Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +11 (89-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Hamilton * | 42 | 4-15 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | -7 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 41 | 6-16 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 39 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 28 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 17 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Maurice Evans | 8 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Dale Davis | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Carlos Delfino | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tony Delk | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 44 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 15-19 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 33 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 36 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 5-15 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 35 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 33 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| James Posey * | 30 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 27 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 24 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter