Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +15 (98-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 45 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 45 | 11-17 | 4-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 19 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 35 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 35 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 6 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 33 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Tony Delk * | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Carlos Delfino * | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Dale Davis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 43 | 13-17 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 29 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 38 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 36 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 22 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 35 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| James Posey * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 22 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter