Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | ✗ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +4 (92-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 46 | 11-20 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 18 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 41 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 39 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| James Posey * | 24 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Hamilton * | 43 | 7-18 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 39 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 39 | 10-20 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 38 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 36 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Carlos Delfino | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dale Davis | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tony Delk | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter