Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -5 (86-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 37 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 3-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 37 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 34 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 31 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 29 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 26 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 20 | - |
| James Posey * | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Shandon Anderson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Derek Anderson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Hamilton * | 41 | 9-22 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 5 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 40 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 39 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 23 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 39 | 6-19 | 2-8 | 5-5 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 12 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Tony Delk * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Dale Davis | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter