Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.6% | 75.4% | +5.1 | ✗ (13.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.1% | 64.9% | +3.4 | ✗ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -8 (111-119). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 49 | 11-20 | 0-1 | 15-16 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 37 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 48 | 9-20 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 14 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 40 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 35 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 33 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 25 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 13 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Adrian Griffin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 49 | 12-24 | 0-1 | 17-23 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 41 | 39 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 47 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 46 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 44 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 42 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 9-9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brent Barry | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter