Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 49.9% | 50.1% | +0.0 | ✗ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -5 (86-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 45 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 38 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 12-13 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 29 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 34 | 3-15 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -3 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 34 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 32 | 8-21 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Brent Barry | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Beno Udrih | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 45 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 34 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 41 | 7-17 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 39 | 4-15 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 31 | 3-14 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -7 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 13 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter