Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 49.9% | 50.1% | +0.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +5 (123-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 46 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 46 | 12-23 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 28 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 45 | 12-23 | 0-1 | 9-14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 11 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 44 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 38 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Manu Ginobili | 26 | 8-11 | 4-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 23 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 50 | 12-25 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 15 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 46 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 14-15 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 23 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 40 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 38 | 10-19 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 12 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 36 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 31 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter