Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 49.9% | 50.1% | +0.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +1 (104-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 41 | 15-23 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 28 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 38 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 38 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 32 | 7-16 | 0-2 | 10-11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 27 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 11 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 43 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 21-24 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 35 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 40 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 36 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 10-11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 9 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter