Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 28.8% | 71.2% | +5.0 | ✗ (27.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -22 (91-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 41 | 7-17 | 2-4 | 11-11 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 22 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 38 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 31 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 25 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Erick Dampier | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Adrian Griffin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Josh Powell | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| DJ Mbenga | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Bowen * | 36 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 35 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 12-14 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 31 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 31 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 27 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 11 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brent Barry | 24 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter