Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 28.8% | 71.2% | +5.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +2 (87-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 41 | 8-20 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 40 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 35 | 10-21 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 7 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 34 | 6-18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 27 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| DJ Mbenga | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 41 | 12-24 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 23 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 36 | 7-18 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 36 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 33 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 32 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter