Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.7% | 79.3% | +7.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +18 (79-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 46 | 11-24 | 0-4 | 5-8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 11 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 28 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 28 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Eric Snow * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 47 | 7-16 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 44 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 41 | 4-16 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 37 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 13 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Tony Delk | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Maurice Evans | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter