Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.7% | 79.3% | +7.4 | ✗ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -2 (84-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 46 | 13-30 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 13 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 39 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 34 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Eric Snow * | 33 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 27 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 23 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ira Newble | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 48 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 45 | 5-16 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 1 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 41 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-7 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 37 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 3 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 22 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Maurice Evans | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter