Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 39.1% | 60.9% | +2.4 | ✗ (28.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -26 (76-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 38 | 9-17 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 35 | 12-21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 27 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 27 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| DJ Mbenga | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 39 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 9 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 38 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jake Tsakalidis | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Antonio Burks | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter