Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +15 (94-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 37 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 32 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 27 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | -2 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 26 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jake Tsakalidis * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Antonio Burks * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 37 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 36 | 9-19 | 1-3 | 12-14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 17 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| DJ Mbenga | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Josh Powell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter