Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +10 (103-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 40 | 8-18 | 0-1 | 8-11 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 39 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 34 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 32 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Jake Tsakalidis * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 27 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 44 | 9-18 | 0-3 | 13-15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 27 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 36 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 32 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 25 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 18 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter