Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.4% | 41.6% | -1.9 | ✓ (20.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -22 (83-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Bowen * | 39 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 34 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 34 | 11-20 | 1-1 | 8-9 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 19 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 32 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 28 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 23 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 16 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Beno Udrih | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Bibby * | 43 | 7-18 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 41 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 39 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Kenny Thomas * | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jason Hart * | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ronnie Price | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Corliss Williamson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Vitaly Potapenko | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter