Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.3% | 49.7% | +1.1 | ✗ (16.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.4% | 41.6% | -1.9 | ✗ (19.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +18 (102-84). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 34 | 10-20 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 3 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 29 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 25 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 17 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 13 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonzi Wells * | 40 | 9-11 | 1-1 | 6-11 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 32 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 39 | 6-17 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 33 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 33 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Kenny Thomas * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 26 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jason Hart | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Francisco Garcia | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Vitaly Potapenko | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ronnie Price | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Corliss Williamson | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter