Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | +4.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +14 (92-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirk Hinrich * | 39 | 3-13 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 38 | 3-16 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -2 | - |
| Andres Nocioni * | 36 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 9-11 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Michael Sweetney * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Chris Duhon * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Eric Piatkowski * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Othella Harrington * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Luke Schenscher | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Tyson Chandler | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jannero Pargo | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 42 | 5-16 | 1-8 | 6-13 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| James Posey * | 34 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 33 | 9-18 | 1-1 | 9-10 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 19 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 26 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Derek Anderson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter