Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 49.7% | 50.3% | +0.1 | ✓ (18.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls +19 (109-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 41 | 9-22 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 9 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 34 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 30 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | -2 | - |
| James Posey * | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Doleac | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Derek Anderson | 10 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Wayne Simien | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Gordon * | 43 | 8-18 | 3-6 | 5-8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 9 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 39 | 6-17 | 2-6 | 8-9 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Andres Nocioni * | 33 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 9-10 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 32 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Michael Sweetney * | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Chris Duhon * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Othella Harrington * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyson Chandler | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Luke Schenscher | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jannero Pargo | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Eric Piatkowski | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter