Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | +4.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +7 (115-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Gordon * | 40 | 5-16 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Andres Nocioni * | 39 | 13-15 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 19 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 34 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 34 | 10-18 | 2-2 | 7-8 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 17 | - |
| Chris Duhon * | 25 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | - |
| Michael Sweetney * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Eric Piatkowski | 7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jannero Pargo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 44 | 10-20 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 44 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 36 | 7-11 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 35 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 19 | - |
| James Posey * | 29 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 23 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Shandon Anderson | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter