Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | +4.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +5 (111-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Gordon * | 44 | 12-23 | 5-10 | 6-7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 16 | - |
| Andres Nocioni * | 41 | 8-20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 38 | 6-14 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Chris Duhon * | 25 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 20 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Michael Sweetney * | 13 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Othella Harrington * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Eric Piatkowski | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 44 | 8-21 | 0-1 | 14-16 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 25 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 42 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 37 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 29 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 33 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 7-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| James Posey * | 20 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Shandon Anderson | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter