Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 65.3% | 34.7% | -3.5 | ✗ (34.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +31 (102-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 39 | 5-17 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 37 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 33 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Devin Brown * | 20 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 20 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Brent Barry | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Tony Massenburg | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Wallace * | 39 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 38 | 4-16 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 38 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 36 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 33 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 22 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 19 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Darvin Ham | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ronald Dupree | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Darko Milicic | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter