Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.4% | 76.6% | +6.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.9% | 66.1% | +3.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +10 (102-92). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 46 | 15-30 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 16 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 40 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 2 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 39 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 37 | 6-14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 33 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jim Jackson * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Steven Hunter * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 42 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 15-15 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 34 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 41 | 7-18 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 35 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 31 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 31 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 31 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter