Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | +1.3 | ✗ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -4 (126-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Richardson * | 52 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 51 | 13-28 | 4-7 | 8-9 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 29 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 50 | 14-24 | 5-8 | 6-6 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 39 | 33 | - |
| Jim Jackson * | 43 | 6-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Steven Hunter * | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Walter McCarty * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 51 | 9-25 | 2-5 | 8-10 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 20 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 48 | 13-25 | 4-7 | 6-9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 20 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 46 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 38 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 11-12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 31 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter