Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | +1.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +10 (119-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 46 | 9-18 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Jim Jackson * | 44 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 44 | 20-28 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 48 | 25 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 43 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 34 | 5-10 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 22 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Walter McCarty | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Steven Hunter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 44 | 9-15 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 40 | 13-21 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 18 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 37 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 34 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 32 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 31 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
* = starter