Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | +1.3 | ✗ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -17 (102-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 46 | 13-24 | 0-0 | 11-15 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 37 | 29 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 42 | 4-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 42 | 12-21 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Jim Jackson * | 42 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 41 | 7-14 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Steven Hunter * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Walter McCarty | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 43 | 4-14 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 42 | 8-24 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 41 | 7-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 34 | 6-18 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 27 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 20 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Alan Henderson | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Shawn Bradley | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Devin Harris | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter