Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.6% | 71.4% | +5.0 | ✓ (20.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +25 (127-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 40 | 13-24 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 21 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 36 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 32 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 32 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 28 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 18 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Shawn Bradley | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Devin Harris | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 43 | 9-17 | 3-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 40 | 4-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 39 | 9-16 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 38 | 13-21 | 0-0 | 14-17 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 36 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Jim Jackson * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Steven Hunter * | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Walter McCarty | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa | 5 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Bo Outlaw | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter