Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✗ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -4 (102-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 43 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 21 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 40 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 37 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 31 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 17 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shawn Bradley | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy McGrady * | 42 | 10-23 | 2-7 | 6-8 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 16 | - |
| David Wesley * | 41 | 5-11 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Bob Sura * | 37 | 8-19 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 33 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Jon Barry * | 23 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mike James * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Scott Padgett * | 15 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter