Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | +4.7 | ✗ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -2 (111-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy McGrady * | 46 | 10-19 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 29 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 37 | 13-14 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 33 | 29 | - |
| David Wesley * | 30 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jon Barry * | 28 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Bob Sura * | 28 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Mike James * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Scott Padgett | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 42 | 8-21 | 0-1 | 10-12 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 10 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 38 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 36 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 34 | 7-13 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 24 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 19 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 12 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shawn Bradley | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter