Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.3% | 69.7% | +4.6 | ✗ (16.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -12 (86-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy McGrady * | 46 | 14-27 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 16 | - |
| David Wesley * | 35 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jon Barry * | 28 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Mike James * | 25 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Bob Sura * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Scott Padgett | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 43 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 41 | 5-19 | 0-2 | 11-13 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 41 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 31 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 15 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shawn Bradley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter