Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.5% | 64.5% | +3.3 | ✗ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -3 (89-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 50 | 11-26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 6 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 44 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 29 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 42 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 39 | 4-13 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 29 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Marcus Banks * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Delonte West * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Tony Allen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justin Reed | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Jackson * | 47 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 47 | 6-19 | 0-2 | 14-18 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 23 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 39 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 35 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 28 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 25 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| James Jones * | 18 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Fred Jones * | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Scot Pollard * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter