Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.9% | 76.1% | +6.1 | ✓ (16.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.5% | 64.5% | +3.3 | ✓ (19.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +23 (99-76). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 37 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 36 | 5-16 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 33 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 25 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 19 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Banks * | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Delonte West * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Justin Reed | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Mark Blount | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 35 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 9-13 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 35 | 10-16 | 2-4 | 11-12 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 27 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 34 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 32 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Fred Jones * | 23 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| James Jones * | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Scot Pollard * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Eddie Gill | 3 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Austin Croshere | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter