Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 32.6% | 67.4% | +4.0 | ✗ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -3 (70-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta World Peace * | 42 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 10-15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 37 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 35 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 31 | 4-14 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jonathan Bender * | 20 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Odom * | 42 | 5-17 | 0-3 | 12-14 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 39 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 37 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 36 | 6-21 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 19 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Rasual Butler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter