Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 32.6% | 67.4% | +4.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +12 (100-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta World Peace * | 44 | 12-22 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 16 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 39 | 14-24 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 19 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 37 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 32 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Fred Jones * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jonathan Bender | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 47 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 44 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 12-17 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 44 | 9-13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 37 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 16 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Udonis Haslem | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter