Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 32.6% | 67.4% | +4.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +7 (94-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 42 | 9-21 | 0-1 | 11-16 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 23 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 39 | 4-18 | 2-7 | 4-7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 31 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 28 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 26 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Fred Jones * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 17 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jonathan Bender * | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 42 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 11-12 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 40 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 40 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 35 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 5-12 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 29 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Udonis Haslem | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Rasual Butler | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter